Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years

Progress of Islet Transplantation over the Last 15 Years

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a global epidemic. In 2013, there were 382 million people with DM, and this number is expected to rise to 592 million by 2035. Type 1 diabetes (T1DM), which is caused mainly by an autoimmunemediated destruction of beta cells within the islet of Langerhans, accounts for 5–10 % of the total cases of diabetes worldwide. Glycemic control is the cornerstone of diabetes care...

Judgmental Bootstrapping: Inferring Experts' Rules for Forecasting

Judgmental bootstrapping is a type of expert system. It translates an experts' rules into a quantitative model by regressing the experts' forecasts against the information that he used. Bootstrapping models apply an experts' rules consistently, and many studies have shown that decisions and predictions from bootstrapping models are similar to those from the experts. Three studies showed that bo...

The impact of rumors on the judgmental forecasting process

This stu& investigates the impact of rumors when forecasting changing time series. In this study, the subjects were presented with three types of rumors about the future direction of the time series correct rumors, incorrect rumors and rumors which provide no information. Results indicate that correct rumors improved the quality of the forecasts; incorrect rumors and rumors with no information ...

Progress in thermal comfort research over the last twenty years.

Climate change and the urgency of decarbonizing the built environment are driving technological innovation in the way we deliver thermal comfort to occupants. These changes, in turn, seem to be setting the directions for contemporary thermal comfort research. This article presents a literature review of major changes, developments, and trends in the field of thermal comfort research over the la...

Judgmental forecasting from graphs and from experience